Craft statistics gathered by JP players

[kengosan]

http://miara.sakura.ne.jp/ff/gousei/m_gousei.htm

I can only read the kanji, missing lot of info because i can't read the others, someone that can read japanese please read this and sort out the main points?

but this doesn't really match with icemage's calender at all.

[Ipwnzuall!!!111]

O_o new posting template blows my mind. I like it.

Anyway, this link doesn't appear to be a calendar, so not really comparable to IceMage's. There might be some of the same info in there, but primarily it looks to be (basically a result statistics table) percentages of success, failure, and various levels of HQ based on skill. For example, it says things to the effect of: 10 levels above the skill cap yields a 33% chance of success, 10% chance of failure, 40% chance of HQ1, and so forth (again, just an example).

[spuncan]

its a study mainly regarding hq chances while using Earth Crystals those 1st few graphs are all tests done using earth crystals only...

[Icemage]

I asked someone to translate the page, and it appears that it was an extensive test of some low level earth crystal synth. The page states that the synths were all done by a crafter 51 levels higher than the synthing cap. The charts show the various results under different moon phases and days of the week.

Points where the chart disagrees with my calendar:
- Disagrees with my conclusion that day before crystal produces more HQ
- Disagrees that Full Moon produces more HQ
- Disagrees that Lightsday produces fewer failures
- Disagrees that Lightsday produces more HQ
- Disagrees that opposed element day (in this case, Wind) produces more HQ

Points where the research agrees with my calendar:
- Agrees that Darksday and opposed element day produce greater failure rate
- Agrees that New Moon produces more HQ

There are a few things to note:
- Full Moon wasn't tested as extensively as other moon phases, so the result values there are less reliable.
- Not all days are equally represented by moon phase, and vice versa

Interesting fact: According to the research, the average failure percentage once you are significantly higher level than the cap seems to sit at 5%.


Icemage

[poweryoga]

- Disagrees with my conclusion that day before crystal produces more HQ

Actually that would be firesday, correct?

Seems firesday has the best number of HQ1s, but lower numbers for HQ2 and HQ3.

For the moon phase, it seems "å??日夜", or... i think that's waxing gibbeus (?) yields the most amount of HQ1s, which is kind of suprising.... thought I do recall getting a lot of HQs on a particular moon phase but neglected to write it down.

I'll have to finish reading it later... takes a long time for me to read all the kana, though a lot of it seems to be variance and some percentage calculations.