Mog Bonanza

[Feba]

I'm going to a psychic tonight.

just buy a paper. They're cheaper.

[Bluecat]

What are the odds of us winning though?

[Ellipses]

What are the odds of us winning though?

For each set of numbers you buy:
1/10 for group 5
1/100 for group 4
1/1000 for group 3
1/10000 for group 2
1/100000 for group 1

Edit: Assuming that each of the five digits on the ticket can be 0-9. Odds are better if they're limited somehow.

[Aksannyi]

Wow ... 100 mil? If I won all that I'd get a relic. And a whole lot of other awesome stuff.

[Mhurron]

For Rank 1 - 1 in 100,000
Rank 2 - 1 in 10000
Rank 3 - 1 in 1000
Rank 4 - 1 in 100
Rank 5 - 1 in 10.

So, you have a 1 in 10 chance of at least winning something.

God damnit

[Kittyneko]

For Rank 1 - 1 in 100,000
Rank 2 - 1 in 10000
Rank 3 - 1 in 1000
Rank 4 - 1 in 100
Rank 5 - 1 in 10.

So, you have a 1 in 10 chance of at least winning something.

God damnit

And every other char increases that chance too!

[Raydeus]

If I got 100 mil I'd invest it so I could make 1 billion. Then I could start working on getting all the relics I want.

[Ziero]

Pretty much everyone has a 100% chance at getting the Exp scroll

Hell, I'm gonna end up with one for each of my mules and none of them will be able to use it....

[Kittyneko]

So, you have a 1 in 10 chance of at least winning something.

Wait, if you buy 10 Marble's doesn't that mean you have a 10/10 chance? Unless you want to use a number more than once, and get more exp scrolls.

[eticket109]

For Rank 1 - 1 in 100,000
Rank 2 - 1 in 10000
Rank 3 - 1 in 1000
Rank 4 - 1 in 100
Rank 5 - 1 in 10.

So, you have a 1 in 10 chance of at least winning something.

God damnit

100% if you make sure the last digit is different on each of your 10 marbles.

10 characters will guarantee Rank 4 as well. Dusk gear and Haubys are going to bottom out. >.>

[Ellipses]

Wait, if you buy 10 Marble's doesn't that mean you have a 10/10 chance? Unless you want to use a number more than once, and get more exp scrolls.

As long as each of your 10 marbles has a different digit for the last number, you will get a Miratete's Memoirs. As long as they have different digits for the last two numbers, you have a 10/100 (1/10) chance of winning something in rank 4. If they all have different digits for the last three numbers, you have a 10/1000 (1/100) chance at something from rank 3, and so on.

[Kittyneko]

As long as each of your 10 marbles has a different digit for the last number, you will get a Miratete's Memoirs. As long as they have different digits for the last two numbers, you have a 10/100 (1/10) chance of winning something in rank 4. If they all have different digits for the last three numbers, you have a 10/1000 (1/100) chance at something from rank 3, and so on.

So umm.. if I use 50 characters, 500 marbles, how much chance would that be for each rank?

I can actually calculate this but I'm not really that good with Math, it'd take me very long. x.x

[Temagori]

Well at least you can be happy in knowing that worse comes to worse you can at least win an exp scroll. Three cheer's for the Miratate's Memoirs~!
Hip hip hurray~! etc.

[The Mauva Syndicate]

I don't really think RMT is going to be all over this.

As Feba said - 1.7 million characters, 10 marbles each - 17 million marbles costing 17 BILLION gil so hey, they are actually reducing gil out of the economy. Even if each server pays out an average of 500 Million, thats still reducing gil out of the economy

This is an RMT's nightmare actually, I think.

Added: In gambling the house always wins - this is no different.

[Ellipses]

So umm.. if I use 50 characters, 500 marbles, how much chance would that be for each rank?

I can actually calculate this but I'm not really that good with Math, it'd take me very long. x.x

As long as you get a unique number for each marble, you just plug the number of marbles into the left side of the chances:

500/10 for group 5
500/100 for group 4
500/1000 for group 3
500/10000 for group 2
500/100000 for group 1

This means you're guaranteed 5 group 4 items and 45 Miratete's Memoirs (it would be 50, but 5 of them are going to be group 4 instead). You'd have a 50% chance at group 3, a 5% chance at group 2, and a 0.5% chance at group 1 (and each of any of those you win, obviously, means you don't win something lesser).